In the last week, there were discussions in the Israeli prime minister office about whether to declare about Olmert’s visit to the Golan or to keep it secret; some said that keeping it secret could make things complicated if the journalism knows about it. It would be understood like if the prime minister is checking on his army in this area and preparing it for a battle. In the end it was decided to declare about it to calm things down. The next day Ihud Baraq, the Israeli Defense minister made a visit too to the Golan to check the army and the way things are going on their. Ihud Baraq said while he was making a speech their, that Israel doesn’t want to start a war now with Syria and that there is no interest for Israel from making such a war. He also said that his visit to this area, and the Israeli army movement in this area is being held because Israel has only this area and the south to make trainings and movements for its army. At the same time Israeli journalists and analysis’s said that they think if Israel and Syria keeps on this status of Words war for another three months, things could become much worse and then it could be a beginning for a long difficult war for the both sides. Farouk ilsharaa, the Syrian vice-president, in his last speech, said that these israeli movements shows nothing more than preparing for attacking Syria and starting a war, he considered all these israeli movements on the boarders with his state as a serious act towards making things more close to war rather than peace in the middle east. He also said that Syria will be ready to attack back and defend itself if Israel chooses to strike it.
If we go back a little, also before three days, Hasan Nasrallah, the head of Husballah lebanese movement, also made a speech to thousands of lebanese people. In this speech Nasrallah uses new tactics and threatens with new serious words, he said: “If Israel chooses again to attack lebanon, I will be ready to reply with a new big surprise that will change all the strategies and situation in the middle east. Nasrallah is known to be honest in applying his threatens after he declares specialy after what happened in the last Israel-Lebanon war.
Now lets connects things together and see what we can get from all of these new acts; Syria, Hezballah and the Iranians had their last meeting in Syria a month ago and agreed on so many things that no one knew nothing about except that serious decisions were taken about to how to react and reattack if Israel attacks any of the three of them. The real thing is that Iran is holding this unity between the three of them and planning very well in how to use the two powers it has in the middle east to change the situation in it. The Iranians has two options; either to use Syria and Hezballah to make pressure on Israel so the united states could stop threatening Iran to stop its Nuclear activity, the other option which is much more risky and dangerous and could only be used by the iranians if they are in real danger is to make a sudden move and attack the main power and strength for the United States in the Middle East which is Israel by using hezballah and Syria clearly. Attacking can be done in so many ways; short battles like the last summer (hezballah and Israel), Words Threatening like what is going on between Syria and Israel, and the last option which is complete war that could burn things out in the Middle East.
Now the real question is how much Israel could stand without doing anything while its biggest enemies are becoming stronger and much more dangerous for its security?
Again Israel could choose to use the surprising element and strike them before they thing of striking it, and try to destroy as much as they can from this Three States Unity from the first hit. This explains why Israel Is working 24/7 on training and preparing so it can be ready to either attack or defend itself from a planned attack. Nasrallah threatening of bringing out a new big surprise for the israelis this time means not only using regular rockets but holds much more meanings; it could mean using new weapons like chemical or biological weapons that he may be holding, it could also be attacking back with the help of the Iranians and the syrians. Another surprising act that Syria did in the last months was bringing young syrians that are studying abroad back to Syria and training them in the Syrian army. The Israeli Intelligence said that it had information about moving these soldiers to the boarders with israel and that a syrian plan that is giving them the permission to make small attacks against israel from the boarders is being studied to build up somehting like Hezballah in the syrian boarders with Israel claiming that this is being done to liberate the occupied Golan.
Another last known thing in the Israeli deplomacy is that if Israel says there is no war at the meanwhile, this means a war is so close! And according to the International relations laws, the syrians and the Israelis are allready in a state of war and this can be seen from the way things are developing either by military preparings or speeches.
Now Russian Bomber flights to be permament? Dosnt this remind us of the cold war days? I mean this was stopped in the early nintys, but Putin is returning back many of the Soviets acts to life such as the missles case. Putin said exactly: In 1992, Russia unilaterally ended flights by its strategic aircraft to distant military patrol areas. Unfortunately, our example was not followed by everyone. Flights by other countries’ strategic aircraft continue and this creates problems for ensuring the security of the Russian Federation.
The United States said that these activities does not show any threat to the Americans.
When Putin said that others didn’t follow his examply he meant the U.s and the Nato. Although this man suffers from money shortage, he is trying to get Russia back to the game, why? He wants to be part in making decisions in the world and this was seen when he also said that some Power states are making decisions alone without taking care of consulting Russia and it is the time that Russia comes back to take part in making decisions. If the Russians keep on doing these acts like also restarting military trainings with China, then the emptiness could become bigger between them and the Americans and then Russia will have to prove that it is strong again so it could return to its old chair and change the worlds balance of power again which is now One State power which is the U.S and return it again a Two States Power.
Now consider me crazy be saying this, but what if the american pressure becomes bigger and bigger on the Russians to stop these activities. And the Russians needed a supporting bunch of States, and suddenly Iran and its friends offers the help of following the Russians in the future, as once the Soviets united with Egypt against Israel in its war and even prevented the jewish imigrations from its land to Israel, what if this was only the beginning and returned back to life some of the states that were in the Soviet Union to cooperate with Russia again. Actually similar actions are being done on the American side since it felt the Iranian threatens and Russians non trusted. The U.S is supporting its Arab allighs with weapons in order to face any Iranian attack and Israel is allready being supported and prepared, so if something happens then the Russians wont have any other place except standing with those who are fighting against its number one power racing state “the U.S”. Just thing of it!
Now the last thing I just wanted to remark about the the economical deterioration that happened in America’s Real Estate Loans and how it affected the worlds economy in a direct way. Rates were lowered in order to stop this. Actually this reminded me of the Israeli Company named Festiba that collapsed lately, this company used to build homes and sell them to the people. They took a permission to build one thousand three hundred houses in a place called Modeen, part of these lands are owned by Palestinians, and the company built instead of one thousand three hundred, three thousand houses. The head of the Israeli Peace Now movement succeeded in getting an order from the court of Law to stop their buildings and this was one of the main reasons that helped in collapsing the company. The Israeli public that bought from this company was seriously affected because they lost large sums of money. Now the state is trying to make a law that protects them if this happens again. Well what I really wanted to show up that Economy could be a serious reason to start a world war as so many times it did in the history and if this deterioration keeps on happening in the World’s Economy because of the Globalization, then it would affect seriously.
Ziad Khalil Abu Zayyad
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